Friday’s meeting of the Central Committee of the ruling Front for the Liberation of Mozambique will consolidate the power of President Filipe Nyusi, providing an enabling environment for LNG development in the country, according to a Feb. 3 note from Eurasia Group. Mozambique’s longer-term trajectory over the next two years remains positive, Eurasia said.
Anadarko needs to finalize legal issues, including marine concessions that dictate ownership of the planned export jetty in Cabo Delgado province, and complete LNG offtake agreements before taking a final investment decision, John Peffer, the company’s manager in Mozambique, said in an interview. 
“The key is to finish the legal and contractual framework as quickly as possible as this is a critical element in providing project certainty and securing long-term economic value,” Peffer said. 

Project Differentiation

Anadarko, which owns 26.5 percent of the project, and its partners also need to get approval for resettling about 500 people at the project site, Peffer said. Displaced fisherman will be eligible for compensation, according to a draft of the plan. Despite pricing pressures as crude slumped to the lowest in more than a decade, the company remains confident about the prospects in Mozambique.
“The size of this asset, reservoir quality, distance to shore, proximity to the market, and continued progress with the government on the required legal and contractual framework will enable this project to differentiate itself and compete in today’s LNG market,” Peffer said.
Anadarko said on Monday that it plans to cut spending by almost half as it moves to recover from its worst year since spinning off from Panhandle Eastern Pipe Line Co. in 1986. The third-largest U.S. natural gas producer reduced its 2016 capital budget to about $2.8 billion, after reporting a net loss of $1.25 billion for the fourth quarter.

Development Plan

Anadarko and Eni SpA in December agreed on a plan to develop adjoining areas in the northern Rovuma basin, targeting a combined 24 trillion cubic feet of gas. Mozambique has attracted international energy companies to exploit huge gas finds that could help turn the country into the third-biggest LNG exporter in a decade.
ENH is also a minority partner in a gas-to-liquids plant proposed by Royal Dutch Shell Plc. The gas could be used for power plants, methanol and urea production, in addition to GTL, according to astudy prepared for the government.
Should a final investment decision be taken, the state-owned company would need to add lawyers and accountants, more than tripling its 160 employees, he said.
“That partnership is important because it’s an opportunity for ENH to go into the downstream industry and occupy the space along the value chain," Mitha said. “We’ll have to reshape our strategy, our plans, and fiercely fight for tapping new resources as well."
A feasibility study has been completed for the plant, which would be a “foundation project” for the domestic gas industry in Mozambique, according to a spokesman for Shell. Discussions are ongoing between Shell, ENH and the Mozambican government on the findings of the study, he said.